Nature Climate Change published a new report with grim news for Earth and everything on it. The findings of the study suggested merely 5% chances that the Paris target would succeed. The main mission of the Paris Agreement and its members is to manipulate the temperature increases to remain below 2 degrees Celsius threshold by 2020. However, not even these large efforts might prove to be enough to overturn the warming process.
The Main Paris Target Is to Keep Global Warming Below 2 Degrees Celsius Threshold
The lead author of the study, Professor Adrian Raftery at the University of Washington, stated the exceeding of the 2C is closer than people might think. Therefore, the academic figure turned to communities to acknowledge the critical situation and act upon it.
First of all, the Paris agreement relies on the 2C target due to some scientists claiming that larger increases than this can trigger even more disastrous effects. These can be drought, sea-level rise, and heat waves at greater intensities than ever before.
The new study courtesy of the University of Washington predicts 90% chance that the temperature increases will hit values between 2 and 4.9 degrees Celsius by 2100. Such an outcome coincides with the worst case scenario that the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change expects.
Technological Advancements Can Boost the Rate of Success by 90%
The study skipped the controversial greenhouse gas emissions and started off by investigating other negative trends that took place in the last five decades. These consist of per capita GDP, global population growth, and carbon intensity. The latter represents the carbon dioxide emissions per dollar of economic activity.
The next step was to run statistical modelings. Based on such results, the findings pointed out that carbon intensity is one of the major agents responsible for warming increases. On the other hand, the study found that recent technological advancements are capable of great things, especially in India and China. These alone can support 90% of efforts to keep the temperature increases under 2C.
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